A Banquet of Consequences: Management Flight Simulators for Climate Change Policy
John D. Sterman, Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management, Professor of Engineering Systems, Director, System Dynamics Group, MIT Sloan School of Management. The System dynamics is a modeling approach to understanding the behavior of complex systems over time, developed by MIT System Dynamics Group in 1950’s.
A Clinician’s Approach to Human Factors Issues in Healthcare at the Center for Advanced Pediatric and Perinatal Education at Stanford
Presenters: Louis P. Halamek, M.D., F.A.A.P.; Janene Fuerch, M.D., F.A.A.P.; Nicole Yamada, M.D., F.A.A.P.
Division of Neonatal and Developmental Medicine
Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine
The Center for Advanced Pediatric and Perinatal Education (CAPE)
Clinical Capacity Planning with Discrete Event Simulation
We will discuss how to model clinical systems using discrete event simulation, and how to analyze models for clinical capacity planning. We treat a case study of the Center for Fetal Diagnosis and Treatment at The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, and describe modeling, analysis, experimentation, and recommendation using DES. Including a brief discussion of the use of DES for implementation science.
T. Eugene Day, D.Sc., is a Sr. Improvement Advisor and Principal Investigator with The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. He specializes in discrete event simulation of health care delivery systems, with the goal of understanding the complex nature of clinical systems, and then applying this understanding to improve care delivery quality, efficiency, and safety.
Dr. Terry Young , Professor of Healthcare Systems, School of Information Systems, Computing and Mathematics, Brunel University
He and Dr. James Fackler published a paper Why healthcare professionals are slow to adopt modeling and simulation? to explore the reason for slow adoption of the computer modeling and simulation in healthcare.
Professo Young is also the co-founder of the Cumberland Initiative, a network of leading clinicians, managers, modellers, academics and industry specialists who are pioneering the modeling and simulation approach in the NHS. Lord Norman Warner, former Health Minister for NHS reform said in a press conference.
“We will only do something different if we have an analytical base to enable people to change,” argued Lord Warner. “The problem in the NHS is, unless local people are confronted with overwhelming evidence that something has to be done and there is another way, in many places they don’t change their institutional behaviour.”
“The NHS is a very conservative organisation in many places. But where we are now, we badly need the kind of initiative that Cumberland is showing. The traditional thing you do is try and gee up doctors and managers but we need a bit of an injection of data collection and analysis.”